Predicting the Effects of Risk Management in Logistics and Supply of Long-Term Facilities (Case Study: Zaytoun Logistics Park)

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
Mohammad Amin Ebrahimzadeh 1
Armin Norouzi 2
1 Department of Civil Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
2 M.Sc.. Grad. Faculty of Civil Engineering Art and Architecture Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
10.22034/road.2024.452351.2275
Abstract
The existence of factors such as political issues, demand fluctuations, technological changes, financial instabilities, and natural disasters increases uncertainty and risks in the supply chain. One of the most important and complex stages of logistics support in organizations, especially military and law enforcement organizations. It is a prediction. The vital role of this process, in the optimal performance of logistics functions, has raised the necessity of creating a forecasting system. In this research, the importance of forecasting and estimation in logistics functions, as well as the requirements that must be met for the design of the forecasting system, are examined in the country's 10-year horizon. The research method in this research is in the form of a questionnaire and it was evaluated with 102 participants. In this research, the case study of this research is Zaytoun Logistics Park, all the information and data required for this research were taken from this area, the amount of investment in this huge project is 110 billion tomans to complete this project, of which 5 billion tomans were brought by the investors. Of course, the main problem of Zaytoun Logistics Park is changing the use of the purchased land and issuing permits from the authorities. This bazaar will be established on a land of about 6 and a half hectares in the 18th kilometer of Zanjan-Tehran.
Keywords
Supply Chain Risk Management
Supply Risk Management
Supply Network Design Considering Risk
Value at Risk
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