Investigating the Risk of Earthquakes in the Roads of Mazandaran Province

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 Instructor, Housing & Urban Development Research Center, Tehran, Iran.
2 Assistant Professor, Housing & Urban Development Research Center, Tehran, Iran.
3 Ph.D., Student, Islamic Azad University, North Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran.
Abstract
Earthquakes, as a natural disaster, can damage transportation systems and disrupt or stop their operation, especially in urban areas. Failure to consider the seismic risks of the transportation network causes chaos and disorder in the areas where the disasters has occurred. These systems are considered elements of search and rescue operations after an earthquake. Therefore, if a detailed assessment and analysis of the risks that threaten it is not carried out, it can cause disruption in the transportation network and ultimately, a failure in other vital services in the affected areas. The roads of Mazandaran Province are located in a high-seismic risk area. Seismic indicators such as faults (fault density and distance from the fault), earthquakes (density of large, medium and small earthquakes) and the classification of earthquake risk in the roads of Mazandaran Province were investigated. Superposition of seismic indices on roads has shown that road axes located in the eastern province, such as Kiasar, Firouzkooh-Qaemshahr, and Neka Road, have higher risk than Chalus Road.
Keywords

-Ahmed, M. M., & Ghasemzadeh, A. (2018). The impacts of heavy rain on speed and headway Behaviors: An investigation using the SHRP2 naturalistic driving study data. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies91, 371-384.
-Alabbad, Y., Mount, J., Campbell, A. M., & Demir, I. (2021). Assessment of transportation system disruption and accessibility to critical amenities during flooding: Iowa case study. Science of the Total Environment793, 148476.
-Ambraseys, N. N. (1974). Historical Seismicity of North-Central Iran.
-Ambraseys, N. N., & Melville, C. P. (2005). A history of Persian earthquakes. Cambridge University Press.
-Arşık, İ., & Salman, F. S. (2013). Modeling earthquake vulnerability of highway networks. Electronic Notes in Discrete Mathematics41, 319-326.
-Berberian, M. (1976). The 1962 earthquake and earlier deformations along the Ipak earthquake fault. Geol. Surv. Iran39, 419-426.
-Bíl, M., Vodák, R., Kubeček, J., Bílová, M., & Sedoník, J. (2015). Evaluating road network damage caused by natural disasters in the Czech Republic between 1997 and 2010. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice80, 90-103.
-Christopher, R. (1991). ATC-25 Seismic Vulnerability and Impact of Disruption of Lifelines in the Conterminous United States, Applied Technology Council, EQE Inc. Redwood City, California, USA.
-Diakakis, M., Boufidis, N., Grau, J. M. S., Andreadakis, E., & Stamos, I. (2020). A systematic assessment of the effects of extreme flash floods on transportation infrastructure and circulation: The example of the 2017 Mandra flood. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction47, 101542.
-Furtado, M. N. (2015). Measuring the resilience of transportation networks subject to seismic risk.
-Jung, S., Jang, K., Yoon, Y., & Kang, S. (2014). Contributing factors to vehicle to vehicle crash frequency and severity under rainfall. Journal of Safety Research50, 1-10.
-Keller, S., & Atzl, A. (2014). Mapping natural hazard impacts on road infrastructure—the extreme precipitation in Baden-Württemberg, Germany, June 2013. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science5, 227-241.
-Khademi, N., Balaei, B., Shahri, M., Mirzaei, M., Sarrafi, B., Zahabiun, M., & Mohaymany, A. S. (2015). Transportation network vulnerability analysis for the case of a catastrophic earthquake. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction12, 234-254.
 -Kiremidjian, A., Moore, J., Fan, Y. Y., Yazlali, O., Basoz, N., & Williams, M. (2007). Seismic risk assessment of transportation network systems. Journal of Earthquake Engineering11(3), 371-382.
-Little, R. G. (2002). Controlling cascading failure: Understanding the vulnerabilities of interconnected infrastructures. Journal of Urban Technology9(1), 109-123.
-Liu, W., & Song, Z. (2020). Review of studies on the resilience of urban critical infrastructure networks. Reliability Engineering & System Safety193, 106617.
-Mackie, K. R., & Stojadinović, B. (2006). Post‐earthquake functionality of highway overpass bridges. Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics35(1), 77-93.
-Nicholson, A., & Dalziell, E. (2003, May). Risk evaluation and management: a road network reliability study. In The Network Reliability of Transport: Proceedings of the 1st International Symposium on Transportation Network Reliability (INSTR), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 45-60.
-Song, J., & Ok, S. Y. (2010). Multi-scale system reliability analysis of lifeline networks under earthquake hazards. Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics39(3), 259-279.
-Stöcklin, J. (1974). Possible ancient continental margins in Iran. In The Geology of Continental Margins, Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 873-887.
-Tak, H. Y., Suh, W., & Lee, Y. J. (2019). System-level seismic risk assessment of bridge transportation networks employing probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Mathematical Problems in Engineering2019, 1-17.
-Utasse, M., Jomelli, V., Grancher, D., Leone, F., Brunstein, D., & Virmoux, C. (2016). Territorial accessibility and decision-making structure related to debris flow impacts on roads in the French Alps. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science7, 186-197.
-Wilson, A. T. (1930). Earthquakes in Persia. Bulletin of the School of Oriental and African Studies6(1), 103-131.
-Zhang, Y., Ayyub, B. M., & Fung, J. F. (2022). Projections of corrosion and deterioration of infrastructure in United States coasts under a changing climate. Resilient Cities and Structures1(1), 98-109.
-Zhou, Y., Wang, J., & Yang, H. (2019). Resilience of transportation systems: concepts and comprehensive review. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems20(12), 4262-4276.