جاده

جاده

تحلیل و ارزیابی تاثیر عرضه خودروهای خودران اشتراکی بر تقاضای سفر گروه‌های توان یاب (مطالعه موردی: تهران)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 گروه مهندسی عمران، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
2 استاد، گروه مهندسی عمران، دانشگاه علم و صنعت ایران، تهران، ایران
چکیده
این پژوهش به بررسی تأثیر خودروهای خودران اشتراکی بر تقاضای سفر گروه‌های توان‌یاب شامل سالمندان، معلولان و کودکان در شهر تهران می‌پردازد. داده‌های مورد نیاز از طریق پرسشنامه‌ای ساختارمند از ۸۲۳ نفر از شهروندان تهرانی جمع‌آوری شد. تحلیل داده‌ها با بهره‌گیری از مدل رگرسیون خطی چندگانه انجام گرفت. یافته‌ها نشان داد که متغیرهایی مانند نگرش نسبت به هم‌پیمایی، درک امنیت، آگاهی از فناوری، قابلیت اطمینان و دسترسی به خودروهای خودران نقش معناداری در افزایش تقاضای سفر این گروه‌ها دارند. مقدار ضریب تعیین مدل (R²) برابر با 0.691 به‌دست آمد که نشان‌دهنده قدرت مناسب مدل در تبیین تغییرات متغیر وابسته است. همچنین نتایج تحلیل حاکی از معناداری آماری مدل در سطح مناسب بوده و آزمون دوربین-واتسون با مقدار 1.95، نبود خودهمبستگی در باقی‌مانده‌ها را تأیید کرد. به‌طور کلی، نتایج تحقیق بیانگر آن است که خودروهای خودران اشتراکی می‌توانند با کاهش موانع سنتی سفر و ارتقای احساس امنیت و دسترسی، نقش مهمی در بهبود تحرک، مشارکت اجتماعی و کیفیت زندگی گروه‌های توان یاب ایفا کنند. این یافته‌ها می‌توانند مبنای تدوین سیاست‌های حمایت‌محور برای توسعه حمل‌ونقل هوشمند و فراگیر شهری قرار گیرند.
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